May 20, 2022

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National security expert: Biden must revive Trump's 'energy dominance' to put Putin in his place

National security expert: Biden must revive Trump’s ‘energy dominance’ to put Putin in his place

except: Foreign Policy Expert and former Trump adviser KT MacFarland says then-President Trump’s strategy of global “energy dominance” made Putin too weak to invade Ukraine and it’s not too late for Biden to use the same tactics.

KT McFarland, who served in White House Under four different presidents, including as deputy national security adviser during the first few months of the Trump administration, he says the former CEO’s strategy of increasing US energy production effectively drove the price of oil down enough that oil-producing countries like Russia bears the invasion of neighboring countries such as Ukraine.

“If you look at 50 years of Russian history, every time oil prices go down, the Russians go down,” McFarland told Fox News Digital. “Every time the Russians rise, they rebuild their army, fight proxy wars, and invade countries.”

A year and a half ago, when the price of oil was $40 a barrel, [Putin] “You didn’t have the money to launch an invasion,” MacFarland said.

President Donald Trump speaks in the East Room of the White House, early Wednesday, November 4, 2020, in Washington. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci/AP Newsroom)

under the previous President TrumpThe price of crude oil fell below $25 a barrel and averaged $52.99 a barrel. Under President Biden, the price rose from $53.25 a barrel when he took office to a high of $123.70 a barrel and closed at $92 a barrel on February 24, the day Putin invaded Russia. At the time of writing this article, the price of oil is around $104.

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MacFarland claims that Biden’s “war on fossil fuels” has severely hampered US energy production and is responsible for encouraging Putin by enriching the Russian economy, which relies primarily on foreign trade in oil and gas.

“Suddenly, Putin’s coffers doubled, tripled,” McFarland said.

MacFarland, who also served in the administrations of Presidents Nixon, Ford and Reagan and worked as an aide to geopolitical expert Henry Kissinger, said that while she believes the price of oil It was the primary catalyst for Putin’s decision to invade Ukraine, and the “shattered NATO” under Biden and the administration’s perceived “weakness” also played a role.

“They are the same people in the Biden administration who were in the Obama administration when [Putin] “He took Crimea,” MacFarland said, calling Putin’s invasion of Ukraine a “continuation” of his annexation of the newly formed republic of Crimea in 2014.

The chart shows the price of crude oil from July 2011 to July 2021. (CQG via Dow Jones Market Dataset)

Over the course of two months it put it in Maneuvering in the Crimea, the average price of crude oil reached $100.59 a barrel, similar to what it is today.

Although other factors may have contributed to Putin’s eventual invasion of Ukraine, MacFarland believes that adopting energy policies similar to those of the Trump administration is the successful strategy to deter the Russian president.

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While the United States and many of its allies have suspended normal trade relations with Russia, the failure of countries like Germany to completely sever ties with Russian oil has rendered sanctions against Putin ineffective, according to MacFarland.

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“It’s not just about energy independence, it’s energy dominance,” MacFarland explained to Fox News Digital.

Biden, Ukraine and Russia war, Russian oil, war, conflicts

US President Joe Biden talks about cutting energy prices at the Eisenhower Executive Office Building in Washington, DC, United States, on Thursday, March 31, 2022. (Photo: Al Drago / Bloomberg via Getty Images / Getty Images)

Currently, under the Biden administration, “It takes longer to get a permit to build an LNG plant than it would to build an actual plant,” MacFarland says.

The foreign policy expert says the Biden administration needs to “cut the red tape” in the United States energy Producers are currently struggling with US natural resources and releasing them back into the global economy to compete with the Kremlin’s exports.

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This strategy, according to McFarland, would not only deter Putin from invading other countries, but also prevent leaders of other oil-rich countries from becoming aggressive, particularly in the case of Iran and its decades-old proxy conflict with US ally Israel. .

If the Biden administration fails to increase US energy production, MacFarland expects Putin to keep fighting, possibly moving west to seize Moldova or another country outside NATO protection.

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MacFarland, who wrote her dissertation at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology on the nuclear standoff, said she believes this will become a “frozen conflict” that will not progress toward the use of nuclear weapons, but cautions that one should still not underestimate the potential for destruction. When a nuclear-capable country becomes “desperate enough”.

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