4:18 pm: Trade difference announced.
4:01 pm: Athletic’s Ken Rosenthal reports (on Twitter) that the deal also contains a player who will be named later. He adds that Cincinnati believes the unidentified player is “boosting” the quality of his comeback.
3:53 pm: In turn, Cincinnati is gaining a defensive player Jake Fraleyset up probability Brandon Williamson And the right hand Justin DunnVinsand Add. Joel Sherman reports from the New York Post (on Twitter) that Seattle assume the remaining three years and $35 million on Suarez’s contract.
3:48 pm: Mariners are finalizing an agreement on a deal that will bring in a star defensive player Jesse Winker From the Reds, according to ESPN’s Jeff Bassan (Twitter link). Seattle is also getting a third man base Eugenio SuarezMLB.com’s Mark Finsand reports (on Twitter).
The Mariners’ chief of baseball operations, Jerry DePoto, has been open about his pursuit of offensive help throughout the winter. Seattle has already signed AL Cy Young Award winner Ruby Ray For a five-year contract, but they hadn’t done much before to promote the offense apart from the deal it brought Adam Fraser from Padres.
Winker earned his due as the number one hitter last season, but he was quietly an excellent hitter for some time. He has earned 127 points or better in the WRC (out at least 27 percentage points above the league average) in four of his five career seasons. The former supplemental head coach has been particularly impressive in the past two years. Going back to the start of the 2020 campaign, a .292/.392/.552 streak with 36 home games has over 668 board appearances.
Last year, he logged 485 trips to the plate and set a personal best of .305/.394/.556 with a solid walk rate of 10.9% and strike rate of 15.5%, which is more than seven points below the league average. He rarely swings, denies and misses or chases pitches outside his strike zone, and is capable of doing a lot of damage when he makes contact. It posted scores well above average in terms of barrel rate, hard contact ratio, and average exit velocity.
It’s easy to see Seattle’s allure in adding this kind of offensive firepower to their lineup. Despite winning 90 games, the Mariners didn’t have a particularly productive offensive last year. Seattle Hitters Rank Only 21st wRC+ team (excluding bowlers) last season. They finished 22 in total. Winker should be a huge boon to the unit that will need improvement if it is to face a 20-year drought.
However, Winker is not entirely without flaws. It’s limited to a defensive angle, and has never been rated favorably in the eyes of general metrics. He’s linked defensively with 20 below-average runs in 2,335 2/3 career innings into the corners (plus three below-average runs in 138 runs as a central player). Statcast’s Outs Above Average at -21 made him play the big league, including the -7 mark last season.
Left hitter Winker has some of the most prominent platoon divisions in the league. He’s been downright elite in his run against right-handed shooters (.313/.405/.556), but his numbers without a platoon advantage (.188/.305/.295) were mediocre. It’s possible that Winker isn’t a strict platoon player – he’s at least drawing a boatload of walks against the Southpaws – but his influence is centered on feasting on the right.
Perhaps the most worrying aspect of any aspect of his talent was his lack of size. Winker has been on the injured list in every entire season of his MLB career. Heading into last season, the 28-year-old didn’t even count 400 major league games. He had a personal high 485 last year, but finished the season on the injured list after experiencing intercostal fatigue in mid-August (from which he tried unsuccessfully in September).
All of this makes Winker a difficult player to appreciate, but there is no doubt that he will improve Seattle’s offensive overall. Presumably, he will step in as the usual left-hander for M, joining a field he can excel at Jared Kielnik in the field and Mitch Hanniger in the right. Beginner of the previous year Kyle Lewis Coming out from another serious knee injury, DePoto told reporters (Including Ryan Davis of The Seattle Times) It is unlikely that he will be ready for the start of the season as they carefully approach his recovery. Previous Highest Possible Taylor Trammell And the companion man Dylan Moore Depth choices may be behind the season-opening trio of Winker, Kelneck and Hanegger. Julio Rodriguezamong the best handful of potential players in the game, were incorporated into Double-A at the end of last season.
Winker will likely be in the Pacific Northwest for at least the next two seasons. MLBTR contributor Matt Schwartz expects him to earn a salary of $6.8 million via arbitration this year. It will be possible to control him through this process again next winter before reaching free agency before he reaches the age of 30.
In order to entice the Reds to break up with a Winker-level player, M’s is making a lot more money than just his predicted refereeing numbers. Cincinnati signed Suarez on a $66 million extension in March 2018, of which three years and $35 million are secured funds. (The deal also includes a $15 million club option for 2025.) At first, it seemed like a smart investment by the Cincinnati front desk, as Suárez went on to earn MVP support in each of the following two seasons. However, after combining for a .277/.362/.550 streak over that stretch, he has struggled the past two seasons.
Suarez hit .202 / .312 / .470 during the shortened 2020 campaign. That’s a shocking average, but it’s more than offset by a solid 13% walking rate and 15 homers in just 231 board appearances. However, his problems on the board escalated last year. His gait is down to a solid but no longer an elite 9.8%, which isn’t enough to make up for the less than 0.198 hitting average. Suárez made it to the base with just a .286 clip – the sixth lowest mark out of 135 players totaling 500+ board appearances. He still hits for power (31 homers), but core issues and his inability to successfully cope with an ill-advised move from third base to Shortstop kept his overall production in the substitution level field.
Apparently the sailors assumed the Suarez deal as a means of taking over Winker. Having said that, it seems likely that they will give him some opportunity to try to correct the ship in his new suburbs. Seattle bought a third baseman a long time ago Kyle Seeger at the end of the year. Abraham Toro It seems internally preferred for hot corner play, but Toro can bounce between corners and second base as a bat-first tool option as well. Divech Tweets That Suarez is likely to step in as the third primary key man, at least to start the year, with Toru spreading around the diamonds as needed.
The acquisitions of Suárez and Winker will add about $20 million to the Mariners books for 2022. That puts the estimated expenses for this year at $106 million, according to Jason Martinez. Menu resource. That’s well above last season’s opening mark of $73 million but not close to the salary record of over $150 million from 2017 to 2018. It’s not clear exactly how much is left in the coffers, although they seem satisfied with their Center player group. Dipoto reporters (including MLB.com’s Daniel KramerIt is unlikely that the club will make further movements on this side of the ball. Seattle has been linked with free agents like Chris Bryant And the Trevor’s story This is out of season, but DiPoto described their efforts to hit free agents as a “dead end.”
The acquisition of Winker was another solid move for the now winning Mariners, but it was a continuation of the Reds’ salary cut efforts. Cincinnati traded away Tucker Barnhart What a pity Valley Miley On concessions for a little back in November. They listened to the commercials on the top three shooters, and moved on Sony Gray To the twins to promote chances of success Chase Petty during the Weekend.
The afternoon swap is the most notable yet, as the Reds cut around $20 million in 2022 commitments. Equally important, they found a way out of Suarez’s future commitments. Just joy photo ($25 million) and Mike Mutkas ($18 million) secured money in the Cincinnati books in 2023, and the payroll squeaky clean in 2024. The Reds’ brass have dismissed the idea that they’re organizing a complete breakup, but recent subtractions of Winker and Gray have made it more difficult for what was an 83-79 team to compete this season.
Against this backdrop, it wouldn’t be surprising to see more rollouts by Cincinnati. Luis Castillo And the Tyler Mahley Each has two more seasons to control the judging, as did Weinker. Both shooters would re-draw if the Reds made them available, particularly with the dealer’s free-spin market now essentially deprived of mid-turn options.
Even if the Reds have more moves on the horizon, the players who come back should all get into the mix in no time. Fraley and Dunn are direct toppers, and it seems likely that Fraley will advance to the right in the left-field spot vacated by Winker’s departure. The left-footed striker struggled in limited appearances in the big league between the 2019-20 season, but he did reasonably well last season.
Fraley picked up 265 board appearances last year, scoring .210/.352/.369 with nine Homers and ten steals. The batting average is clearly below par, but the LSU product is offset by an elite 17.4% walking rate. Fraley’s impatient approach to the board should make it a serviceable option. He’s basically been a left-footed player in the major leagues, but he’s able to cover the position in question. Fraley can be controlled until 2026 and is not on track to reach arbitration eligibility until 2024.
More is coming.
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